The Top 3 Electoral College Scenarios for an Independent to Win
You don't even need to win the popular vote to win the presidency
Do not align with a party. Stay completely independent and get on ballot another way.
If you try to compete in 50 states, you will lose!
Instead you need to pick the best states for independents and spend heavily in those states. You can come in 2nd or 3rd in the popular vote and still win the Presidency.
Remember the goal is 270 electoral votes.
Independent is shown in gold below.
#1 Scenario - Win 23 states
When you first look at this plan, you may scoff. How can you win in these red and blue states? The answer: Run a socially liberal, fiscally conservative anti-corruption populist campaign.
You need 52M-56M popular votes in this scenario. You need to be very socially liberal. Pro weed. Pro crypto. Leave abortion issue alone. To win more conservative states, message them about medical freedom, fewer government regulations, and drill baby drill. Washington is going to be the toughest one to get. Maine and New Hampshire may seem like long shots but socially liberal with personal freedom will play well there. You use this plan when you have $2,000,000,000+ to spend and want insurance in case you lose some states. Watch the voter rolls in Nevada, Texas, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. Don’t spend one dollar in any of the red or blue states.
#2 Scenario - Win 22 states
You need 49M-54M popular votes in this scenario. You need to be very socially liberal. Pro weed. Pro crypto. Leave abortion issue alone. To win more conservative states, message them about medical freedom, fewer government regulations, and drill baby drill. Maine and New Hampshire may seem like long shots but socially liberal with personal freedom will play well there. You use this plan when you have $1,500,000,000+ to spend and want insurance in case you lose one state. Watch the voter rolls in Nevada, Texas, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. Don’t spend one dollar in any of the red or blue states.
#3 Scenario - Win 20 states
You need 48M-52M popular votes in this scenario. You need to be very socially liberal. Pro weed. Pro crypto. Leave abortion issue alone. To win more conservative states, message them about medical freedom, fewer government regulations, and drill baby drill. You use this plan when you have >$1,000,000,000 to spend. There is no margin for error in this plan and you can lose if one thing goes wrong. Watch the voter rolls in Nevada, Texas, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. Don’t spend one dollar in any of the red or blue states.
What happens when you have <$1,000,000,000 to spend? You don’t win the Presidency. Anyone who tells you that you can win as an independent with less than a billion hasn’t done the literal math. They are selling you a pipe dream.